Working in python 2.7.
I'm trying to work my way up to plotting a random walk. But first I'm having some trouble summing the number of results I get from a random generator.
The fir开发者_Go百科st piece of code:
def random_pick(some_list, probabilities):
x = random.uniform(0,1)
cumulative_probability = 0.0
for item, item_probability in zip(some_list, probabilities):
cumulative_probability += item_probability
if x < cumulative_probability: break
return item
In this case, the list is a = ['Hit', 'Out'] and the respective probabilities are given by b = [.3, .7]. This code returns 'Hit' with probability .3 and 'Out' with probability .7.
I then have code to create a rough sim of a player's batting average based on those probabilities:
def battingAverage(atBats, i, some_list=a, probabilities=b):
for i in range(1,atBats):
if random_pick(a, b) == 'Hit':
hit = random_pick(a, b)
print '%.0f: %s' % (1, 'Hit')
elif random_pick(a, b) == 'Out':
out = random_pick(a, b)
print '%.0f: %s' % (2, 'Out')
When I run this, I get a random generation of as many at-bats as a I choose. But I would like to be able to then sum the number of instances or both hit and out, but I have not been able to figure out how. I've tried to use code similar to below after changing the random_pick to return the probability instead of the item, but to no avail.
def battingAverage(atBats, i, some_list=a, probabilities=b):
num_hits = 0
num_outs = 0
for i in range(1,atBats):
if random_pick(a, b) == 'Hit':
hit = (random_pick(a, b))/.3
num_hits += hit
elif random_pick(a, b) == 'Out':
out = (random_pick(a, b))/7
num_outs += out
print num_hits, num_outs
Any help would be greatly appreciated. Also, does anyone know of a good resource to learn Monte Carlo simulations?
num_hits = 0
num_outs = 0
for i in range(1, atBats):
if random_pick(a,b) == 'Hit':
num_hits += 1
else:
num_outs += 1
print num_hits, num_outs
To be honest, I am struggling to follow the logic of your code (it's been a long day), but here are a couple of pointers:
1) When you do things like:
if random_pick(a, b) == 'Hit':
...
elif random_pick(a, b) == 'Out':
...
you're calling random_pick()
twice, so you're conducting two independent simulations instead of one. As a result, it could be that neither of the two branches get executed. To fix, call random_pick()
once, store the result, and then branch on that result.
2) As to your other problem, Python allows you to return multiple values from a function. This might be useful here:
def random_pick(some_list, probabilities):
... decide on the item and probability ...
return item, probability
You can then call it like so:
item, prob = random_pick(a, b)
and use item
or prob
(or both).
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